Dealing with Entrepreneurial Uncertainty: Do Current Measures of Overconfidence Tell the Whole Story?
نویسنده
چکیده
DEALING WITH ENTREPRENEURIAL UNCERTAINTY: DO CURRENT MEASURES OF OVERCONFIDENCE TELL THE WHOLE STORY? Researchers have been studying entrepreneurial cognitive biases in making decisions under uncertainty for some time. This paper reviews the overconfidence bias and the main methodology used to examine it, calibration of probabilities, concluding there may be weaknesses in using this method. An alternative qualitative method and proposed themes of investigation are suggested.
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